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After the publication of CPI in the United States, the probability that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points in December has almost been fully priced. According to CME's "Fed Observation", the probability that the Fed will keep the current interest rate unchanged by December is 2.3%, and the cumulative probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 97.7%. The probability of keeping the current interest rate unchanged by January next year is 1.7%, the probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 71.2%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points is 27.1%.The Ministry of Finance successfully issued the sixth issue of RMB 6 billion treasury bonds in 2024 in Hong Kong. On December 11th, the Ministry of Finance of People's Republic of China (PRC) issued the sixth issue of RMB 6 billion treasury bonds in 2024 in Hong Kong Special Administrative Region for institutional investors, which was widely welcomed by investors, with a subscription multiple of 3.58 times. Among them, the two-year (additional issuance) is 2 billion yuan, and the issue price is 100.62 yuan, corresponding to the issue interest rate of 1.70%; 3-year (additional issuance) 2 billion yuan, the issue price is 101.28 yuan, corresponding to the issue interest rate of 1.70%; 5-year (additional issuance) 2 billion yuan, the issue price is 102.41 yuan, corresponding to the issue interest rate of 1.80%.Shangwei Co., Ltd.: Received the Supervision Letter jointly submitted by independent directors. Shangwei Co., Ltd. announced on the evening of December 11 that the company received the Supervision Letter jointly submitted by independent directors on the same day. The independent directors of the company attached great importance to the recovery progress of the occupied funds and the standardized operation of the company.

OPEC Monthly Report: Russia slightly cut its oil production in November. On Wednesday, OPEC quoted data from second-hand sources as saying that Russia's crude oil production in November decreased slightly by 0.7 million barrels per day to about 8.99 million barrels per day. This is basically consistent with Russia's monthly production quota of 8.98 million barrels under the OPEC+agreement (including voluntary production reduction). Russia promised to cut production in October and November this year and from March to September next year to make up for the excess production since April. The output of Iraq and Kazakhstan has also been higher than the target, and they also promised to further reduce production to compensate for their excess production.The Bank of Japan believes that the cost of waiting for the next rate hike is not high, but it is also open to raising interest rates this month. According to informed sources, Bank of Japan officials believe that there is almost no cost to wait before raising interest rates, and they are still open to raising interest rates next week, depending on data and market development. According to people familiar with the matter, even if the Bank of Japan decides to wait until January next year or a little longer before raising interest rates, the relevant authorities believe that this will not bring huge costs, because there are signs that there is little risk of inflation overshoot. According to people familiar with the matter, officials think it is only a matter of time before the next rate hike, because the economy and inflation are in line with their forecasts. According to people familiar with the matter, officials will make a final decision only after carefully evaluating the data and financial markets before announcing the policy decision in December. Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda and his committee will discuss next week whether it is necessary to raise the benchmark interest rate from 0.25%. Unlike the situation in July, the yen did not show a strong weakness, so the Bank of Japan believes that the risk of the yen pushing up inflation has weakened.Kremlin: We keep in touch with those who control the situation in Syria.

ADB approved a loan of US$ 200 million for power infrastructure construction in Pakistan.India's new central bank governor: policy stability is very important and will try to maintain policy continuity.The China Securities Association held a plenary meeting of the professional committee on securities brokerage, wealth management and asset management, which was held in Beijing on December 3rd. The meeting stressed that the securities industry should focus on its main business, optimize supply, improve its value creation ability, form a diversified financial product and service system suitable for the needs of various investors, and implement the strategic layout of "five big articles"; Adhere to the customer-centered, practice the development concept of finance serving the country and finance serving the people, and correctly handle the relationship between functionality and profitability; Actively serve the national strategic needs, optimize product design, innovate service models, and provide more long-term financial support for the real economy. The meeting summarized the key work of the Committee in 2024 and discussed the work plan for 2025. In the next stage, the Committee will further play its role as a platform for communication, deliberation and handling affairs, unite industry consensus, guide the industry to focus on its main business, give full play to the functions of wealth managers, continuously improve its professional service capabilities, provide full chain services for investors' property preservation and appreciation, and help the high-quality development of the capital market.